The OECD has maintained its global growth forecast at 3.2 percent for 2025 and 2.9 percent for 2026, while introducing a new projection of 3.1 percent for 2027. Regional upgrades include stronger growth for the U.S., China, Eurozone, and Japan, reflecting resilience despite inflationary pressures and geopolitical uncertainties.
The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) released its latest global economic outlook on December 2, 2025. The report highlights steady global growth projections, with notable upward revisions for major economies. While challenges such as inflation, energy prices, and geopolitical risks persist, the OECD emphasized resilience in consumption, investment, and trade across regions.
Key highlights from the announcement include
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Global growth is projected at 3.2 percent in 2025, unchanged from the previous forecast.
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Growth is expected to moderate to 2.9 percent in 2026, also unchanged, before rising to 3.1 percent in 2027.
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The U.S. economy is forecast to grow 2 percent in 2025 (up from 1.8%), 1.7 percent in 2026 (up from 1.5%), and 1.9 percent in 2027.
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China’s growth outlook has been raised to 5 percent in 2025 (up from 4.9%), with 4.4 percent in 2026 and 4.3 percent in 2027.
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The Eurozone is expected to grow 1.3 percent in 2025 (up from 1.2%), 1.2 percent in 2026 (up from 1.0%), and 1.4 percent in 2027.
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Japan’s growth forecast has been revised upward to 1.3 percent in 2025 (from 1.1%), with 0.9 percent growth projected for both 2026 and 2027.
The OECD’s outlook underscores cautious optimism, with global growth stabilizing and regional economies showing resilience. Policymakers are urged to balance fiscal discipline with targeted support to sustain momentum amid ongoing global challenges.
Sources: OECD Economic Outlook, Reuters, Bloomberg