The International Monetary Fund (IMF) forecasts steady global GDP growth of 3.1% in 2026, driven by an artificial intelligence investment boom that offsets trade headwinds. While inflation and geopolitical risks persist, technology adoption is expected to boost productivity, supporting resilience across advanced economies and emerging markets.
The IMF has released its latest World Economic Outlook, projecting stable global growth despite ongoing trade challenges. The report highlights that artificial intelligence investments are fueling productivity gains and innovation, helping economies withstand tariff pressures and supply chain disruptions.
Key highlights from the announcement include
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Global GDP growth forecast at 3.1% for 2026.
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AI-driven investments cited as a major driver of resilience and expansion.
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Trade tensions, particularly U.S.–China tariffs, remain a downside risk.
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Advanced economies show moderate growth, while emerging markets benefit from technology adoption.
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Persistent inflation and rising debt levels flagged as vulnerabilities.
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IMF urges policymakers to balance fiscal sustainability with innovation-led growth.
The IMF noted that while disinflation has slowed and price pressures remain sticky, the AI boom is creating new opportunities across industries. Emerging markets in Asia and Africa are expected to benefit significantly from digital transformation, while advanced economies continue to leverage AI for productivity gains.
Sources: IMF World Economic Outlook, XTB Market Analysis