Asia is witnessing a sharp divergence in export performance, with technology exports far outpacing nontech sectors. According to Nomura’s July 2025 report, the threemonth moving average for tech exports in Asia (excluding Japan) rose to 30.5% yearonyear in May, compared to just 5.7% for nontech exports. Thailand stands out with the widest gap—tech exports soared 57.5%, while nontech exports grew a modest 9.2%.
Key highlights:
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Thailand leads six other Asian economies in tech export acceleration, including India, Taiwan, Indonesia, Malaysia, South Korea, and Singapore
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AIrelated demand, memory chip price hikes, and U.S. frontloaded semiconductor purchases are driving tech growth
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India’s smartphone assembly shift and Taiwan’s AI boom are key contributors to regional tech momentum
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Nontech exports remain sluggish due to weak global demand, Chinese overcapacity, and pricing pressures
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China and the Philippines buck the trend, with nontech exports outperforming tech
Underlying Drivers and Risks
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U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods have redirected demand to other Asian tech hubs
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A Chinese tradein program is boosting electronic component demand
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Domestic consumption remains subdued across Thailand, India, and Indonesia due to pandemic aftershocks and policy tightening
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Rising competition from cheap Chinese imports is eroding nontech market share and delaying private capex
Outlook for H2 2025
Nomura expects the gap to widen further, with AI tech demand remaining the only bright spot. NonAI tech may slow postQ3, while nontech exports are likely to stay weak.
Sources: Business Times Singapore, Nomura, Thailand Now, Thai Times.