Image Source : Red Lantern Analytica
The Indian rupee posted its largest single-day gain since November 2022, strengthening by 0.92% to close at 85.2125 per US dollar. The sharp appreciation comes amid a combination of global and domestic factors, including a weaker dollar index, month-end adjustments, and strategic interventions by the Reserve Bank of India.
Factors Driving the Rupee’s Surge
- The US dollar index weakened by 0.29%, contributing to the rupee’s appreciation
- Month-end adjustments and exporter dollar sales provided additional support to the currency
- The Reserve Bank of India’s absence from the forex market allowed natural market forces to drive the rupee’s gains
Market Reactions and Investor Sentiment
- The rupee’s rally was accompanied by a decline in government bond yields, reflecting improved investor confidence
- Analysts suggest that the currency may continue to trade within a broader range of 84.50 to 85.75 in the near term
- The appreciation comes after the rupee hit an all-time low of 87.95 per dollar in February, marking a strong recovery
Future Outlook
- The Reserve Bank of India’s forex strategy will play a key role in determining the rupee’s trajectory in the coming months
- Global trade negotiations and US monetary policy shifts may influence further currency movements
- Investors will be closely monitoring upcoming economic indicators and policy decisions for further direction
Sources: Business Standard, Economic Times, Bloomberg Reports, Moneycontrol
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