India’s 2025/26 Sugar Output Forecast Cut To 28.5–29 Million Tonnes

India’s sugar output for the 2025/26 season is expected to fall short of earlier estimates, with trade sources projecting production between 28.5 million tonnes and 29 million tonnes. This marks a downward revision from the previous forecast of 30.95 million tonnes, reflecting weaker cane yields in major producing regions.  

The decline is primarily attributed to erratic monsoon rainfall and reduced acreage in states such as Maharashtra and Karnataka, which together account for a significant share of India’s sugar output. The revision has sparked concerns over export volumes and domestic supply, with industry experts suggesting that the government may need to reassess its export policy to ensure adequate availability for local consumption.  

Key highlights from the update include  

• India’s 2025/26 sugar output forecast lowered to 28.5–29 million tonnes  
• Earlier projection stood at 30.95 million tonnes  
• Lower cane yields in Maharashtra and Karnataka cited as key reasons  
• Concerns raised over export volumes and domestic supply management  
• Government may review export policies to balance demand and availability  

Analysts note that while India remains one of the world’s largest sugar producers, the downward revision could impact global sugar markets, potentially tightening supply and influencing international prices. The situation underscores the importance of weather conditions and crop management in determining India’s agricultural output.  

Sources: Business Standard, Economic Times, Financial Express