Indian power generation companies (gencos) are demonstrating remarkable resilience despite a slowdown in electricity demand growth, according to the latest commentary from Fitch Ratings. The sector’s stability is underpinned by robust renewable energy performance, improved payment cycles, and supportive policy reforms.
Renewable Generation Up: Wind power generation in FY24 grew by 8%, while solar output increased by 2% as new assets came online. This growth, though slightly below forecasts, marks a significant improvement over the previous year and underscores the sector’s ongoing shift toward clean energy.
Indian power generation companies (gencos) are demonstrating remarkable resilience despite a slowdown in electricity demand growth, according to the latest commentary from Fitch Ratings. The sector’s stability is underpinned by robust renewable energy performance, improved payment cycles, and supportive policy reforms.
Key Highlights:
Renewable Generation Up: Wind power generation in FY24 grew by 8%, while solar output increased by 2% as new assets came online. This growth, though slightly below forecasts, marks a significant improvement over the previous year and underscores the sector’s ongoing shift toward clean energy.
Faster Payments, Stronger Cash Flow: Receivable days for power sales dropped to around 100 in FY24 from 140 in FY23, signaling faster payments from distribution companies. This has boosted cash collections and improved liquidity for power producers.
Stable Credit Outlook: Fitch affirms that most Indian power and renewable project companies enjoy stable ratings, protected from demand risks by long-term power purchase agreements and regulatory safeguards. Even with India’s BBB- credit ceiling and governance challenges, the outlook remains steady for well-structured projects.
Policy and Market Support: Central government reforms and rising grid tariffs help offset risks, while long-term contracts with utilities and industrial customers provide revenue certainty. Only minor delays were reported in a few states, with most payments arriving on time.
Resilience Amid Transition: Despite fiscal constraints and evolving market dynamics, Indian gencos are well-positioned to navigate the ongoing energy transition, supported by strong operational performance and prudent financial management.
Sources: Fitch Ratings, Economic Times, Renewable Affairs
