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A new IIFL Capital study reveals one in five Vodafone Idea (Vi) subscribers are inactive, inflating reported numbers and masking real ARPU at ₹209—matching Jio's—versus official ₹167. High inactive/M2M base drags usage metrics, challenging Vi's recovery narrative amid network upgrades.
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Vodafone Idea's Q2FY26 ARPU of ₹167 lags Jio (₹211) and Airtel (₹256), but recalculating for active users (154.7M out of 197.2M reported) yields ₹209, nearly equaling Jio's adjusted ₹220. Voice usage jumps from 585 to 800+ min/month, data from 19GB to 24GB—peer comparable.
IIFL attributes distortions to ~8-10M inactive SIMs and low-ARPU M2M connections (₹33/month), questioning TRAI-compliant subscriber churn drop claims despite ₹12,000 Cr capex on 4G/5G.
Key Highlights:
Active Base: 154.7M vs reported 197.2M (22% inactive).
Adjusted ARPU: ₹209 (ex-M2M inactive); official ₹167.
Usage Boost: Data 24GB/mo, voice ~800 min (peer levels).
Peer Gap: Jio/Airtel report cleaner active metrics.
Implications: Questions recovery; capex yet to stem churn fully.
Sources: Economic Times, IIFL Capital report.
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