India’s government bond market witnessed a notable shift as the spread between 5-year and 10-year yields fell to its lowest level in four months. Analysts attribute the narrowing gap to strong demand for longer-tenor securities, easing inflation, and Reserve Bank of India’s accommodative stance, reshaping investor sentiment in early 2026.
The spread between India’s 5-year and 10-year government bond yields has shrunk to a four-month low, reflecting changing dynamics in the fixed-income market. On January 13, 2026, Clearing Corporation of India data showed the 5-year yield at 6.39 percent and the 10-year yield at 6.61 percent, narrowing the gap to just 22 basis points.
Market experts suggest that the compression is driven by robust demand for long-term securities amid expectations of stable inflation and continued monetary support. The Reserve Bank of India’s repo rate cut to 5.25 percent in late 2025 has further boosted liquidity, encouraging investors to lock into longer maturities.
Key Highlights
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5-year yield at 6.39 percent, 10-year yield at 6.61 percent
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Spread narrows to 22 basis points, lowest since September 2025
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Strong demand for long-term bonds amid easing inflation
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RBI’s accommodative stance supports liquidity and investor confidence
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Global rate conditions also influencing yield curve flattening
Final Takeaway
The narrowing spread signals investor confidence in India’s long-term debt market, while also highlighting expectations of stable inflation and supportive monetary policy. Analysts caution, however, that global rate volatility could still impact the yield curve in the months ahead.
Sources: CCIL, CountryEconomy, LinkedIn Market Snapshot