The Indian rupee appreciated to 87.59 against the US dollar on August 14, 2025, following S&P Global Ratings’ upgrade of India’s sovereign credit rating to 'BBB'. The currency had traded at 87.66 prior to the announcement, and the modest gain reflects renewed investor confidence in India’s macroeconomic fundamentals and fiscal trajectory.
This marks a notable shift in sentiment for the rupee, which had been under pressure earlier in the year due to global trade tensions and foreign portfolio outflows.
Key Highlights From the Currency Movement
- Rupee strengthened to 87.59 per dollar from 87.66 after S&P’s rating upgrade
- Gains supported by improved fiscal outlook and policy stability
- RBI intervention and rising forex reserves added to currency resilience
- Market expects rupee to trade in the 87.20–88.20 range in the near term
Drivers Behind the Rupee’s Appreciation
The rating upgrade by S&P acted as a catalyst for the rupee’s upward movement. Key factors contributing to the currency’s strength include:
- Fiscal consolidation: India’s commitment to reducing its fiscal deficit and improving revenue efficiency has bolstered investor sentiment
- Infrastructure investment: Higher capital expenditure is expected to drive long-term growth, attracting foreign capital inflows
- Policy continuity: Stable governance and reform momentum have reduced macroeconomic uncertainty
- External buffers: India’s forex reserves rose to $653.97 billion, providing a cushion against global volatility
The rupee’s appreciation also coincided with a relatively stable dollar index and weakness in other Asian currencies, amplifying its relative strength.
RBI’s Role in Stabilizing the Rupee
The Reserve Bank of India played a proactive role in supporting the rupee through strategic interventions:
- Sold an estimated $2–$3 billion in the forex market to curb volatility
- Used its import cover and reserves to manage speculative positions
- Maintained liquidity and interest rate stability to reinforce market confidence
These measures helped the rupee avoid breaching key resistance levels and signaled the central bank’s intent to maintain currency stability.
Market Sentiment and Trading Range
Traders and analysts expect the rupee to remain range-bound in the near term, with technical indicators suggesting:
- Support levels at 87.20–87.40
- Resistance near 88.20, with potential for a breakout if global conditions worsen
- A close below 87.00 could indicate a trend reversal toward stronger levels
The rupee’s trajectory will depend on global risk sentiment, crude oil prices, and foreign investment flows.
Impact of US Tariffs and External Risks
While the US has imposed new tariffs on select Indian exports, S&P believes the impact on India’s economy will be manageable. The rupee’s resilience reflects:
- Diversified export markets and rising domestic consumption
- Competitive pricing advantage due to earlier depreciation
- Government’s diplomatic efforts to mitigate trade disruptions
However, continued vigilance is required as geopolitical tensions and commodity price fluctuations could affect currency dynamics.
Conclusion: Rupee Gains Ground on Rating Boost and Policy Optimism
The Indian rupee’s rise to 87.59 per dollar following the sovereign rating upgrade underscores the market’s confidence in India’s economic fundamentals. With fiscal discipline, infrastructure-led growth, and central bank support, the rupee is well-positioned to navigate near-term challenges. While external risks persist, the currency’s recent performance signals a shift toward greater stability and investor trust.
Sources: Livemint, Business Standard, Economic Times, Reuters
