India’s Chief Economic Adviser expects GDP growth to surpass 7 percent this fiscal, supported by declining debt and deficit ratios, a strengthening rupee, and easing inflation. He also flagged the rising influence of USD stablecoins and urged India to pursue strategic invulnerability in the global financial landscape.
India’s Chief Economic Adviser V Anantha Nageswaran has outlined a confident and forward-looking economic roadmap for FY26, projecting GDP growth north of the 6.3 to 6.8 percent range and possibly exceeding 7 percent. He emphasized fiscal discipline, currency stability, and the evolving role of digital assets like USD stablecoins in shaping future monetary dynamics.
Major Takeaways From The Economic Briefing
Gdp Growth Outlook
India is likely to exceed its projected GDP growth range, with strong domestic demand and policy support driving momentum.
Fiscal Targets On Track
The country is on course to achieve a 4.4 percent gross fiscal deficit ratio, with both debt and deficit expected to decline steadily.
Inflation Moderation
Inflation rates are anticipated to converge with those of developed economies, reinforcing macroeconomic stability.
Currency Strength
The Indian rupee is expected to become more stable and stronger in the coming years.
Stablecoin Implications
USD stablecoins will play a significant role in 2026, posing challenges to monetary policy and competition for bank deposits. However, India’s need for stablecoins is seen as lower than in the EU.
Strategic Positioning
India should aim for strategic invulnerability, reducing external dependencies and fortifying its economic resilience.
Sources: Reuters, Moneycontrol, Financial Express, Business Today, EY Economy Watch