Image Source : BW Businessworld
Silver prices in India hovered around ₹2.49–₹2.53 lakh per kg this week, tracking global volatility. With spot silver recently spiking toward $76/oz, debate is intensifying over a potential run to $100 on COMEX and ₹3 lakh on MCX. Analysts point to macro risks, rupee moves, and industrial demand as key drivers.
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Momentum builds, but milestones demand catalysts
Silver’s rally has revived big targets: $100/oz on COMEX and ₹3 lakh/kg on MCX. Recent spikes spot silver nearing $76/oz globally and domestic prices fluctuating between ₹2.49–₹2.53 lakh/kg reflect heightened risk sentiment and currency effects. Hitting those milestones would likely require sustained global risk, strong industrial demand, and continued rupee weakness.
Key highlights
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Current India prices: Silver traded around ₹2.49 lakh/kg (Jan 9), with intraday moves up to ~₹2.53 lakh/kg on Jan 10, indicating elevated volatility.
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Global cues: Spot silver recently advanced toward $76/oz amid geopolitical shocks, fueling short-term rallies and speculative interest.
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MCX-USD linkage: A weaker rupee can lift MCX prices even if global silver stabilizes, amplifying domestic moves toward ₹3 lakh/kg.
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What it takes for $100/oz: A durable mix of industrial demand (EVs, solar), persistent geopolitical risk, and tightening supply would be needed beyond a brief spike.
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Near-term watchlist: US yields, dollar index, China growth signals, and Indian import dynamics will shape trajectory and volatility.
A sprint to $100/oz or ₹3 lakh/kg isn’t impossible but it likely requires multiple tailwinds aligning, not just a single shock. For investors, risk management and staggered entries remain prudent in this fast-moving tape.
Sources: Mint, GoldPriceIndia, GoodReturns
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