India’s trade deficit with China is projected to hit a record $106 billion in 2025, according to Global Trade Research Initiative (GTRI). While imports continue to outpace exports, electronics have emerged as a surprising growth driver, with shipments of printed circuit boards (PCBs) and mobile components rising sharply.
Electronics: The Unexpected Player in India-China Trade
India’s trade relationship with China is entering a critical phase in 2025. Despite a widening deficit, electronics exports are showing remarkable momentum, signaling a shift in India’s export basket and reflecting the government’s push for local manufacturing.
Key Highlights:
- Record Deficit: India-China trade deficit expected to reach $106 billion in 2025.
- Electronics Boom: November 2025 saw a 90% surge in electronics exports to China, totaling $2.2 billion.
- PCB Growth: Printed circuit board exports skyrocketed 8,577% year-on-year in October, reaching $256.5 million.
- Mobile Components: Exports rose 82% in April–October to $362 million, despite India’s reliance on imports.
- Export Trends: Overall exports to China estimated at $17.5 billion in 2025, still below the 2021 peak of $23 billion.
- Import Pressure: Imports from China projected at $123.5 billion, driven by electronics, machinery, and chemicals.
- Policy Impact: India’s electronics manufacturing initiatives are beginning to yield results, diversifying export strength.
Why It Matters
Electronics’ rise as a “dark horse” underscores India’s evolving industrial base. While the deficit remains daunting, the sector’s growth offers hope for rebalancing trade and strengthening India’s position in global supply chains.
Sources: Financial Express, BusinessWorld, Hindu Business Line, Economic Times, The Hindu