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Moody’s & ICRA Affirm India’s Corporate Resilience Amid Tariff & Geopolitical Uncertainty

Updated: June 04, 2025 13:15

Image Source: India Today
Moody’s Ratings and ICRA have highlighted that Indian corporates remain well-positioned to navigate global tariff disruptions and geopolitical challenges, citing strong domestic demand, diversified exports, and proactive government policies. Despite recent US tariff hikes and regional tensions, India’s economy continues to demonstrate resilience, with corporate fundamentals remaining intact.
 
India’s Economic Strength Shields Corporates from Tariff Impact:
  • Moody’s noted that India’s limited reliance on goods trade and strong internal growth drivers help mitigate US tariff effects.
  • Government initiatives, including manufacturing incentives and infrastructure investments, bolster corporate stability.
Geopolitical Risks & Fiscal Considerations:
  • Moody’s acknowledged recent tensions with Pakistan, but stated that India’s economic centers remain geographically distant from conflict zones, minimizing disruption.
  • Increased defense spending could strain fiscal consolidation, but domestic consumption and tax relief measures are expected to offset pressures.
Sectoral Impact & Corporate Strategy:
  • Industries like automobiles, steel, and aluminum face moderate exposure to US tariffs, but diversified operations help mitigate risks.
  • Indian ports could benefit from the China+1 strategy, as global firms seek alternative supply chains.
Growth Forecast & Market Outlook:
  • Moody’s revised India’s GDP growth forecast for 2025 to 6.3% (down from 6.7%), but reaffirmed India’s position as the fastest-growing G-20 economy.
  • Inflation moderation could enable interest rate cuts, supporting corporate borrowing and investment.
India’s corporate sector remains resilient, leveraging domestic strengths and strategic diversification to navigate global uncertainties.
 
Source: MSN, Times of India, India Today, and Economic Times.

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