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Updated: May 11, 2025 20:40
Amidst a year characterized by worldwide turmoil, the greatest and most enduring bull market of 2025 has been for safe-haven assets, driven by intensifying geopolitical tensions. As Yardeni Research puts it, investors have rushed to gold and other classic havens as conflicts and uncertainty remake the financial scene.
Key Highlights:
Geopolitical Flashpoints:
India-Pakistan tensions between nuclear-powered India and Pakistan escalated to a dramatic level, with missile attacks and the #IndiaPakistanWar being world-trending.
Red Sea and South Asia are emerging as new hotbeds of instability, further shaking investor confidence.
Safe-Haven Rally:
Gold prices have risen sharply, mirroring a global flight to safety as investors attempt to hedge against market volatility and war-driven shocks.
Other safe-haven instruments, such as some government bonds, have experienced significant inflows.
Market Volatility:
Equity markets have witnessed violent oscillations, with global indexes responding to each new development on the geopolitical stage.
The S&P 500 and most benchmarks have wrestled to stay above water, as Germany's DAXK and Hong Kong's Hang Seng have produced considerable, yet less consistent, advances.
US-China tensions:
US-China tensions remain strained as the trade negotiations drag on, US tariffs produce a rare occurrence in China, and protests on its streets.
Economic vulnerability in China is underlined by layoffs and recent People's Bank of China rate cut.
Investor Sentiment
In spite of the upheaval, the safe-haven asset bull market has turned out to be spectacular and trustworthy, eclipsing classic equity bulls and providing comfort in uncertain markets.
With geopolitics remaining the headliner in risks, the rush to safety remains unfazed, and therefore 2025 becomes a turning point for the bull market for safe-haven investments.
Source: Investing.com