Rainfall Retreat: IMD Warns Of Below-Normal Monsoon In 2026

The IMD’s long-range forecast, released on April 13, 2026, signals a challenging season ahead for farmers and policymakers. The southwest monsoon, spanning June to September, is critical for irrigating nearly half of India’s farmland and sustaining rural livelihoods.  

Key Highlights

• IMD forecasts rainfall at 92% of the long-term average  
• El Nino conditions likely to weaken monsoon in early months  
• Positive Indian Ocean Dipole may counterbalance in later season  
• Agriculture, food prices, and rural economy face potential stress  
• Regional variations expected, with some areas seeing normal rains