Paytm is set to reach EBITDA breakeven by FY27, driven by its merchant service focus and growth in loan distribution business. The company is going to distribute higher-ticket personal and merchant loans to lower-risk, high credit-worthy borrowers in association with banks and NBFCs. This transformation targets contribution margins to improve to 58% in FY28. Paytm expects a revenue growth rate of 25% p.a. over FY25-28, with revenue from financial services at a 33% CAGR. The company expects to achieve positive adjusted EBITDA by Q4FY25 and overall EBITDA breakeven in FY27, with an estimated profit after tax of INR12.1 billion for the same year.
Source: Motilal Oswal Research